期刊名称:Discussion Paper Series / Department of Economics, New York University
出版年度:2007
卷号:1
出版社:New York University
摘要:I consider some of the leading arguments for assigning an important role
to tracking the growth of monetary aggregates when making decisions about
monetary policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to
the conceptual framework that allowed the high in¡ãation of the 1970s. Second,
I consider whether models of in¡ãation determination with no role for money
are incomplete, or inconsistent with elementary economic principles. Third, I
consider the implications for monetary policy strategy of the empirical evidence
for a long-run relationship between money growth and in¡ãation. And fourth,
I consider reasons why a monetary policy strategy based solely on short-run
in¡ãation forecasts derived from a Phillips curve may not be a reliable way
of controlling in¡ãation. I argue that none of these considerations provides a
compelling reason to assign a prominent role to monetary aggregates in the
conduct of monetary policy.