文章基本信息

标题：The Process of Selection of the Main Research Methods in Foresight from Different Perspectives
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作者：Andrzej Magruk
期刊名称：Business, Management and Education
印刷版ISSN：2029-6169
出版年度：2015
卷号：13
期号：2
页码：234-248
DOI：10.3846/bme.2015.281
语种：English
出版社：VGTU Press
摘要：When making research tasks in every field of science is essential to have the conviction that the selected research methods and procedures are reasonable applied, that is, one that effectively lead to the realization of the defined tasks. The set of methods that can be used in foresight projects (future studies) is very rich and, due to the dynamics of foresight, is still open. This article presents a synthetic set of guidelines for the choice of methods for exploring the future, paying attention to the very important fact that the rules of effective methodical conduction, due to its complexity, are often not clearly defined. Depending on the context, functions, stages, types, classes of foresight methods can be used in different ways, which also complicates the creation of optimum model. The article shows that this problem – under certain conditions – can be effectively minimized. The article analyzes the current (shown in the future science literature) approaches, principles, assumptions associated with the selection of foresight research methods.
其他摘要：When making research tasks in every field of science is essential to have the conviction that the selected research methods and procedures are reasonable applied, that is, one that effectively lead to the realization of the defined tasks. The set of methods that can be used in foresight projects (future studies) is very rich and, due to the dynamics of foresight, is still open. This article presents a synthetic set of guidelines for the choice of methods for exploring the future, paying attention to the very important fact that the rules of effective methodical conduction, due to its complexity, are often not clearly defined. Depending on the context, functions, stages, types, classes of foresight methods can be used in different ways, which also complicates the creation of optimum model. The article shows that this problem – under certain conditions – can be effectively minimized. The article analyzes the current (shown in the future science literature) approaches, principles, assumptions associated with the selection of foresight research methods.
关键词：research method;context of foresight;future studies;stages of research.