Market capacity and consumer behaviour from logistic analysis view.
Koltan, Nadezda Doronina ; Girdzijauskas, Stasys ; Streimikiene, Dalia 等
Introduction
The concept of market has a major role in the science of Economics.
One of the most common definitions states that market is a resource
distribution system which helps to produce goods. Market helps to
coordinate activities of different economic subjects and to satisfy
consumer's needs. However, market is different from any kind of
fair or the place in which selling-buying agreements are made;
therefore, there is a need to analyze market from more general point of
view. The role of market could be defined by its functions. The main
function of market is a creation of transitional link between production
and consuming creation. Thus, market has a great influence on all major
spheres of production, namely on its: quantity, structure, growing
speed, the quality of products, range of products, and other
identifications of national product production as well as quantitative
and qualitative end consumption of the product (Carbaugh 2006). The
second important function of the market is the sales of the produced
production and confirmation of its universal use. If a definite product
or service could not be sold it means the usefulness of such item was
not recognized and do not satisfy consumer needs.
It could be stated that both individual investments and economics
on the whole act in one definite space which could be named as a market.
Market is an exchange sphere in which buying and selling processes are
made. As a result, market could be analyzed from different aspects and
differentiated by various features. Market on itself could be classified
as big (capacious), small or transitional. In other words, market could
be saturated by one type of products (which is named as a capital),
partly saturated or free. In the current work it will be analyzed the
market occupancy level and will be evaluated methods (opportunities) to
measure it.
According to S. Girdzijauskas potential market is a maximum
quantity of the capital which could be efficiently invested in some
definite market. Such investments could be counted by absolute value
(money) or by the usage of values during a time unit (Girdzijauskas
2002, 2005, 2008).
In the current work potential market is understood as a market
potential or market's opportunity to absorb the biggest quantity of
the capital. Real market is a functional market in which selling-buying
transactions are made. Also a real market is a potential market's
part which is already filled by the capital. At the same time
potential's market part which is not occupied by real market could
be identified as the niche of the market.
Market could be differentiated by the type of selling goods in it.
Dependently on the main role in the market there are distinguished
producers or consumers (Pranulis et al. 2008). Furthermore, market is
segmented by the same requirements to the products, services or similar
buyer motivation. The criteria of the market segmentation are following:
capacity, the number of buyers, density, allocation, availability of the
segment, stability of the segment, profitability of the segment, level
of competition and the securities from potential competition. All types
of segmentation could be relatively classified into following groups
(Stanton et al. 1991):
1. Segmentation by consumers external features (geographical,
demographical, income and age factors).
2. Segmentation by buyer behavior based on goods segmentation.
The main goal of the paper is to find out factors that influence
markets' niches saturation system.
Additional goals of the current work are following:
To identify closed and opened market capacity and market saturation
basing on logistical capital theory;
To identify factors which influences the market's niches
fulfilment (saturation);
To identify factors which have the most intensive influence on the
saturation of markets' niches.
The objects of the current paper are the capacity of the market,
market openness/ closeness of market, market niches, market fulfilment
(saturation) factors which influence economic growth fluctuations.
The methodology of the current paper is analytical method based on
logistical economical analysis method developed in (Girdzijauskas 2008,
2005; Girdzijauskas, Boguslauskas 2005; Girdzijauskas et al. 2007,
2008a, b; Girdzijauskas, Streimikiene 2009; Mackevicius et al. 2013).
1. Capacity of the market
Market as an intermediary between consumers and producers by the
change in the prices informs producers on what kind of goods or services
consumers spend most and what type of goods and services could be sold
at the highest price. As a result, producers of goods and services try
to produce such king of goods and services and in such quantity which
would allow them to sell out all produced production or full complex of
services and in the end provide the highest profit. The maximum quantity
of the capital which could be efficiently used in the market is
identified as a market capacity (Knyviene et al. 2010).
Existing market prices also influences resource market, namely it
helps producers to decide how to produce, what resources to use in order
to minimize producing expenses. As the products and recourses are sold
for definite prices, the owners of the resources are interested to use
resources as much as possible economically, while consumers are
interested to use products as much as possible economically.
In the market the main interexchange is made between producer and
consumer, therefore, producer is interested to know how many consumers
will be able to purchase his product. It follows with the relevance of
present and potential market analysis and counting. The capacity of
market depends on potential number of purchasers. The same topic was
analyzed by Perpers and Rogers (1995) who were doing research on the
market share of the company by counting the number of their existing and
potential customers.
As it was already mentioned the market could be potential and real
(Girdzijauskas, Streimikiene 2008; Girdzijauskas 2008; Girdzijauskas et
al. 2008a, b, 2009a, b).
Potential market is a maximum quantity of the capital which could
be efficiently invested in a certain market. Such investments could be
counted by absolute value (money) or usage of values during certain time
unit (Bodie et al. 2001; Biel, Johansson-Stenman 2011).
For better market capacity understanding analysis of the Fig. 1 is
provided.
1. All market consumers will be outsourced according to their
needs-only consumers with a certain need will be selected;
2. However, consumers with a certain need for a certain product or
service not always have sufficient financial resources to purchase
current type of product and/or service;
3. Consumers with sufficient financial resources for a definite
product/service might have no legal right to purchase a current type of
product/service.
Only after "outsourcing" or segmentation of consumers and
eliminating consumers without a certain need for a product/service,
consumers without enough money and consumers without legal right to
purchased product or service it could be identified real consumers who
are consumers using a product or a service of the market.
By identifying all consumers who does not have special need for a
certain product/ service, enough financial or legal right to buy the
product/service, we have a possibility to identify real consumers, i.e.
consumers who are using product or service of the market, in other words
market consumers.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
As it was just demonstrated we have a possibility to identify and
consider many levels of the market and to evaluate each level's
potential (opportunities) and factors which are influencing transaction
from the potential market to the real market.
All in all, the definitions of the real (existing) market and
potential market are identified. Real (existing) market and potential
market are market niches, or capital niches, Fig. 2.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
Market niche could be explained in the following equation:
Market niche = Potential market-Real market. (1)
Both equations are similar by their core idea since market's
identifying interexchange have the main aim which is involvement of the
consumer's capital.
Or according to S. Girdzijauskas (2005) opinion the following
equation could be used:
Capital Niche = Potential capital-Real Capital. (2)
Also in analyzing of these two equations there are two unknown
quantities which are market niche or Capital niche and Potential market
or Capital potential since real market or real capital already exists de
facto.
As it was already mentioned the real market exists de facto. It
could be assumed that we are aware of the size of market niche,
therefore, the demand of market potential could be estimated and
considering this information, the real supply could counted and
provided.
Market (capital) niche's influence becomes evident only when
investments are estimated by logistic capital growing function
(Girdzijauskas 2003, 2004, 2005).
Market's capacity, real market comprehension, market niches
and other definitions are essential for logistic models description. One
of them is capital saving model, which is also called as future value
model, or alternatively real capital counting model:
Real capital = Market's capacity x compound interest for n
periods / Initial niche + compound interest of n periods. (3)
In this equation there could be analysed interaction of the real
capital and initial niche which is in some definite cases is the general
capital niche, also there are involved compound interests of n periods,
i.e. initial capital significant which is counted using compound
interest for n periods in the future (Girdzijauskas et al. 2009a).
Market capacity is a quantity of market which is in investing
environment could be productively acquired; in a certain territory
during certain period of time the biggest amount of sold products or
services which is evaluated by natural (barter) or monetary terms. The
significant of market capacity is usually applied in monetary units for
expressing in logistical models.
Real market scope (real capital or investment scope) is an invested
capital, a capital which is a part of potential capital.
Market niche is not used part of market capacity (potential
capital) or the difference between market capacity and the scope of real
market.
2. Market's saturation
By producing and sale of the same category of products of service
market capacity is gradually filled, consequently, the saturation of
market is reached. Moreover, in order it would be possible to fill the
market it has to be ended (final). It could be supposed that endless
market could not be saturated.
According to Girdzijauskas and Streimikiene (2010) opinion
initially and for quite long period of time the quantities of production
are much higher than existing demand which leads to overproduction
effect. Overproduction is a market situation in which there are more
production units than potential market could use it. Overproduction
often influences the decrease of prices, the lowering demand of working
force, and decrease of the demand in other fields of production. To
avoid reproduction it is needed to increase demand or to decrease
supply. The increased level of the demand improves level of consumption,
encourages the growth of GDP; furthermore, the lowering of supply has
negative effect on economics of the country Girdzijauskas et al.
(2009b).
Now it could be concluded that in order to encourage economical
growth it is required to encourage consumption as well. Which steps
could encourage the growth?
S. Girdzijauskas and D. Streimikiene (2010) considers that the
right steps in such situation could be globalization, innovation and
improving standards of living. Alternatively it could be encouraged
level of consumption and management of consumer behavior.
Moreover, S. Girdzijauskas (2005) claims that markets are closed or
opened. Also there are transitional markets which could be considered as
semi closed markets. In general, market's capacity could be
compared to storage or reservoir which is filled by certain substances
(such as gas or liquid). These reservoirs could be also divided into
opened and closed. Investments in such markets could be compared to the
mentioned reservoirs filling of some certain substance (Girdzijauskas et
al. 2009a, b).
Opened reservoirs could be assimilated with opened market. Such
reservoirs would be filled by a liquid by a low pressure. Excess of the
liquid would flow into different reservoirs or would just flow out.
That would reflect the investment's transmission to another
markets or even unprofitable investment. In terms of products and
service markets that would be the search of new markets which is
globalization and creation of new higher competing production which
could be identified as innovation.
The situation in such market becomes very interesting; in the
situation of traditional exponential capital point of view it could be
reflected by the equation (Girdzijauskas 2002, 2005):
K = [K.sub.0][(1 + i).sup.t], (4)
where K-function of potential capital growing, [K.sub.0-initial]
capital, i-the rate of interest, t-saving time. Reflection of this
equation could be viewed in the Fig. 3 (Girdzijauskas 2008).
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
From this graphics it could be seen that "reservoir" is
opened, in other words it contains desired quantity of the
"liquid". And this was proved by Aristotle's
chrematistic's goals.
Closed or semi closed market could be assimilated with closed
reservoirs in which liquid is supplied by low and then gradually
increasing pressure (because of always growing pressure inside). Here
the pressure of liquid could be compared to the norm of investments of
interest rate. If market was filled maximally the invested capital would
increase the maximum capacity of market from several till twenty
percentages. This is influenced by reservoir elasticity and in the case
of overflow it could be partly extended.
This may happen with investments, products or services which could
not be transmitted into new markets, are also influenced by mechanism of
globalizations, do not accept innovations, do not influence the consumer
behavior, and leaves the discoing making process for first urgency
products. In such cases the market is saturated. This is possible only
in closed or semi-closed market.
In the reality in closed or semi closed markets saturation has its
ultimate expression. Te more market is closed the higher is the level of
overflow pressure in the case of market niche lowering. Tis is reflected
into the following logistical equation of growing (Girdzijauskas et al.
2009a):
K = [K.sub.p] x [K.sub.0][(1 + i).sup.t] / [K.sub.p] +
[K.sub.0]([(1 + i).sup.t]-1), (5)
where: K-function of potential capital growing, [K.sub.0]-initial
capital, [K.sub.p]-potential capital's maximum (extreme) value,
i-interest rate, t-saving time, which is demonstrated in the following
graphics in the Fig. 4 (Girdzijauskas 2008).
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
As it could be seen there is a limit achieving of which will
initiate the suspension of growth or blow up of the reservoir. However,
there should not be neglected reservoir's capability to overflow
especially considering the fact that the reservoir is elastic and is
able to keep more liquid when it's real volume is. For blowing up
of reservoir there should be upcoming pressure (the norm of interest
rate investment). In practice such event could be observed by formation
of price bubble.
3. Market saturation factors
Market is an area of exchange in which selling and buying processes
are happening. There would be no market if consumers did not purchase
offering products or services, consequently, we could assume that in
consumer's decisions to buy one or another product or service the
most pivotal role has consumer behaviour (Kotler 2003; Kotler, Armstrong
2010; Kotler, Keller 2007; Guven 2012). Indeed, consumer behviour could
be named as one of the most important factors filling the market niche.
Following stated hypothesis it is logical to analyse
consumers' behaviour influence on market niche filling.
By buying one or another product a consumer evaluates relationship
of price and value. The decision to buy the product is made then the
consumer considers that the value is higher than the price.
Byus and Lomerson (2004) have reflected consumers and sellers
understanding of value in the following equations (6-8). The explanation
of variables is presented in Table 1.
[V.sup.0] = P-C = [B.sup.0] (Business profit on which depends
contribution to GDP); (6)
[V.sup.2] = [B.sup.2]-P (Expectation that the purchased value is
higher than the paid price); (7)
[V.sup.1] = P x Q (Consumers gained capital influencing on GDP),
(8)
where: Q is the number of market's consumer. When (-Q) [right
arrow] 0, all possible market's consumers are purchasing the
product or service and the market becomes saturated, i.e. [V.sup.1] is a
potential concrete product or market service.
Using S. Girdzijauskas definition of potential market it could be
stated that maximum quantity of market could be efficiently (rationally)
invested into a definite market, therefore, it could be assumed that by
saturating market non-rational investment will be initiated which will
lead to capital's niche over fulfilment.
It's obvious that
[V.sup.1] [not equal to] [V.sup.0] [not equal to] [V.sup.2]. (9)
It could be observed a direct dependence of [V.sup.1] on [V.sup.0]
and the dependence of [V.sup.0] on [V.sup.2], which means that [V.sup.1]
is not directly dependant on [V.sup.2].
It was just demonstrated that potential market's capital
depends on price and the number of consumers. Thus, it should be
analyzed the difference of price and the change of consumer behaviour
which influence the number of consumers and potential market's
capital.
There are such products and services which demand is lower than its
supply and the purchase of such products initiates speculative actions
which are based on purchaser's intention to earn from purchased
products more in the future. Similar behaviour is typical for all
market's participants-valuable securities are bought with
expectation that in the future the cost of them will exceed. According
to Buys and Lomerson (2004) by applying a time factor P = constant since
it was purchased previously and consequently [B.sup.2], and [V.sup.2]
are growing.
In the nutshell, we could make a conclusion that in the closed
market by market niche lowering the demand of the product or service
will grow exponentially increasing the cost of it as it demonstrated in
the Fig. 4.
When the market is filled and becoming closed the following two
scenarios of consumer behaviour are possible:
1. Supply is clearly exceeds real (not speculative) demand, as the
result, consumer tries to increase their [V.sup.2] by lowering P as much
as possible.
2. Demand is clearly expressed and it strongly exceeds supply,
therefore, independently from size of P, consumer reaches the goal to
get B2, since the final [V.sup.2] is very important to consumer by clear
reasons to him.
The first scenario examples could be taken from real estate bubbles
which are formed when the demand is created artificially (speculative,
Atistotel's chrematistic, aims). Secondly, it could the bubbles
which are based on prices of special products such as pieces of art
created by already dead artists, antiques, precious stones, etc.
Moskaliova and Girdzijauskas (2006) states that formation of
bubbles there are needed two typical conditions: fundamental and
psychological. The fist condition is related with exhausting of growing
space, while the second reason is related with a desire to earn and to
get profit. The formation of the bubble precedes two stages: in the
fundamental stage market increases the return on the capital (makes a
signal about growing profit) as the result of resources increased
exhaustion. The second stage (psychological) is based on desire of
high-on-return investment and to earn more. The first reason creates the
soil for "bubble" formation, while the second defines its size
(Moskaliova, Girdzijauskas 2006). The scheme of formation of bubbles is
presented in Fig. 5.
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
As it could be seen the main reason of transition from fundamental
market growth to psychological market growth is the consumers'
expectations. Thus, it could be concluded that niches fulfilment (speed
of saturation) depends on potential capital involvement which on its
turn depends on consumers' behaviour, i.e. Aristotle's
chrematistic goals.
For managing market's niche fulfilment there should be
dedicated a special focus on existing customers and specifically it
should be analyzed potential customer's expectations.
Basing on information of National Bureau of Economical Researchers
the following economical cycles characteristics is expressed:
fluctuations and economic activeness, expansion (growth), peak, growth,
decline, recession, falling; there are two breaking points of the
economical equilibrium: economical peak and economical crisis extremes.
In the graphics it is noticed that consumer's expectations are
connected at the point "D", since economic grow has reached
pre-crisis point. The further growing expectations initiates the
formation of so called "bubble" basing on exponential function
of the capital (Fig. 6).
The real GDP can vary from nominal GDP. The factual alteration can
be different from nominal and they are reflected by GDP defilation. The
fluctuations changes of factual GDP from potential GDP creates the GDP
niche (GDP gap)
gapGDP = ([V.sup.1] - [V.sup.1] p) / [V.sup.1]p, (10)
where: [V.sup.1]--involvement of factual capital;
[V.sup.1]p--involvement of potential capital.
Potential GDP is reached by absolute exhaustion of the resources
involving the potential market's capital.
If the resources are not fully used, GDP will have negative
significant. This means that market's niche has opportunity to be
additionally filled.
[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]
Using the Eq. (10) the following equations were developed:
gapGDP = ([V.sup.1] - [V.sup.1] p) / [V.sup.1] p = (P x Q-[P.sub.p]
x [Q.sub.p]) / [P.sub.p] x [Q.sub.p] = (([B.sup.2] - [V.sup.2]) x Q -
([B.sup.2] - [V.sup.2]) x [Q.sup.p]) / ([B.sup.2] - [V.sup.2]) x
[Q.sub.p] = ([B.sup.2] - [V.sup.2]) x (Q - [Q.sub.p]) / ([B.sup.2] -
[V.sup.2]) x [Q.sub.p]. (11)
By simplifying this mathematical equation we will get the following
equation:
gapGDP = (Q - [Q.sub.p]) / [Q.sub.p]. (12)
It is essential to know existing Q, and potential [Q.sub.p] and
number of consumers in order to consider the factual capital involvement
and to count market's size of niche.
In real business environment there should be also considered
consumers' expectations and the cyclic economics from which new
dimensions are formed.
As the result the Eq. (12) becomes more complicated
gapGDP = ([V.sup.2] x Q - [V.sup.2]p x [Q.sub.p]) / [V.sup.2] X
[Q.sub.p]. (13)
While expectations are positive, i.e. consumer hopes that for the
invested capital into the market (into product or service) he is paying
less than he gets value form it, consequently, GDP gap remains negative.
gapGDP <0, if[V.sup.2]p>[V.sup.2]. (14)
In this way it is developed dependence of GDP niche fulfilment on
potential capital. The potential involvement of the capital into
capital's niche has a direct connection with the number of
consumers and their behaviour evaluating invested capital via potential
(received benefit from the capital in the future) expectations.
Returning to the Fig. 1, it could be concluded that by segmentation
of consumers there should be mostly considered about formation of
consumer needs and future consumer expectations.
Analyzing the following consumers' level it is noticed
financial influence on market niche fulfilment. In this part the main
focus is concentrated on money lending institutions which are banks.
Crediting or money lending conditions are one of the main
significant factors for signing a loan contract while consumer's
ability to pay the credit back is the main factor to provide a credit.
All in all, in the Fig. 7 it could be seen that market niche's
fulfilment requires following factors:
--Closeness of the market;
--Peculiarities of consumer behaviour;
--Consumer income;
--Conditions of loan withdrawing if it is needed for purchase of
product or service;
--Legal basis;
--Consumer behaviour peculiarities.
Indeed, it could be emphasized that from 6 factors influencing the
market niche's fulfilment two factors are connected with
peculiarities of consumer behaviour.
[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]
4. Consumer behaviour
Consumer behaviour is based on analysis of when, why, how, and
where people do or do not buy a product. It combines elements from
psychology, sociology, social anthropology and economics. It attempts to
understand the buyer decision making process, both individually and in
groups. The characteristics of individual consumers such as demographics
and behavioural variables in an attempt to understand people's
wants are also very important. It also aims to define the impact on
consumer from groups such as family, friends, reference groups, and
society in general. Customer behaviour study is based on consumer buying
behaviour, with the customer playing the three distinct roles of user,
payer and buyer (Pranulis et al. 2008). Research has shown that consumer
behaviour is difficult to predict as psychology and culture play an
important role (Petruzyte 2013). Relationship marketing is an
influential asset for customer behaviour analysis as it has a keen
interest in the rediscovery of the true meaning of marketing through the
reaffirmation of the importance of the customer or buyer.
A greater importance is also placed on consumer retention, customer
relationship management, personalisation, customisation and one-to-one
marketing. Social functions can be categorized into social choice and
welfare functions. Consumer behaviour is a hotbed of psychological
research, as it ties together issues of communication (advertising and
marketing), identity (you are what you buy), social status (among peers
and potential mates), decision-making, and mental and physical health
(Biel, Johansson-Stenman 2011; van Dam, van Trijp 2011).
Most empirical models of choice in economics and consumer research
assume that the decision maker assesses all alternatives and information
in a perfect information-processing sense. However emotions have a
strong influence on economic behaviour and decision making. Explanations
of many behavioural anomalies exist that exclude such emotions as
important elements, but this may be an oversight-might it be that
specific emotions are necessary causes for such behaviours rather than
merely playing a supporting role (Stanton et al. 1991; Swait, Adamowicz
2001; Summers, Duxbury 2012; McDonald, Christopher 2003).
There are three main applications of consumer behaviour: Marketing
strategy; Social marketing and Public policy (Fischbache, Quercia 2012).
More research is necessary to understand the peculiarities of consumer
behaviour as this has direct impact on market saturation process and
creation of economic bubbles. Application of consumer behaviour in
public policy is very important challenge as it allows creating
appropriate policies for mitigation of market saturation process and
allows to some extending avoiding deep economic crisis caused by
economic bubbles formations.
The synthesis of economics and psychology in consumer behaviour
theories is an impressive case of social science collaboration but it
does not go far enough in light of the effects of the marketing-oriented
economy on consumer choice. The need to incorporate marketing variables
has led to the development of consumer behaviour analysis (Hodgkinson et
al. 2011) which brings together the theories and findings of marketing
science and behaviour analysis/behavioural economics. Recent research in
this field has included the whole gamut of experimental and
quasi-experimental work from tight laboratory formulations of the
traditional kind to more open investigations of consumer behaviour in
simulated and natural environments. Consumer behaviour analysis is a
broadly conceived framework of analysis that draws on economic
psychology, behavioural economics and marketing and whose content ranges
from the experimental studies we have noted to philosophical,
theoretical and non-experimental empirical studies of consumer choice in
relation to its situational determinants (Hodgkinson et al. 2011).
Understanding peculiarities of consumer behaviour is significant
since it defines the recognition and acceptance of the need by a
consumer and creates the final decision in participation in the market
by investing consumer capital, i.e. filling the capital's niche
(Kotler 2003; Mc Donald, Christopher 2003).
Economical cycles attack the growth of capital by logistical
function applying. The great influence on consumer's expectation
has satisfaction or dissatisfaction of them (Grundey 2008; Streimikiene,
Girdzijauskas 2008; Girdzijauskas, Streimikiene 2009).
Conclusions
If it would returned to Aristotle's organization and
understanding of the domestic activity there would be noticed that each
market's participant has chrematistic aims which is enriching his
own property. As the participation in market interexchange has only one
aim-getting bigger benefit into the comparison that was invested in the
past. In this way there is accumulated a need to increase capital by
getting a market niche.
Consumer, organization and market value, which are gained in the
result of market interexchange, are different. These values of consumer,
organization and market are united by expectations that capital is going
to grow by exponential growth.
While the market is opened and could be influenced by
globalization, innovations, growing level of living standards and etc.
it will exist a growing tendency in the market until the reproduction is
active. This means that there is more production in the market than it
could be used. Reproduction frequently has a declining or even recession
effect on prices, working force demand, other areas of production.
While market is closed the growth will continue until the market
niche is overfilled. By involving consumer's capital into market
niche it is fulfilled and the growing suspends. Depending on niche
fulfilling reasons, which could speculative or natural, the demand
declines or continues to grow even more intensively.
Market capacity depends on real market and sizes of market niches.
By knowing the factors which influence the market niche fulfilment there
would be possible to observe alteration dynamics of those factors and
there could be found the ways how to influence those factors.
Market Niches Fulfilment Factors: closeness of the market;
peculiarities of consumer behaviour-expectations about future benefit;
consumer income; crediting conditions; legal basis and consumer
behaviour peculiarities.
The greatest influence on market niche fulfilment has the level of
market closeness and consumer behaviour peculiarities.
Considering business as an art of getting potential capital into
market niche from consumers' pocket without any violence there
should be constantly working on creation of consumer's demand and
consumer expectation's satisfactions.
All in all, the objective of the article has been reached-there was
proved hypothesis that for market's potential realization, i.e.
potential capital involvement and usage, the pivotal role has consumer
behaviour and adopted management of it.
Caption: Fig. 1. Levels of potential consumers
Caption: Fig. 2. Potential and real market
Caption: Fig. 3. Exponential future value dependency on time unit
(saving period)
Caption: Fig. 4. Logistical future value dependency on time unit
Caption: Fig. 5. The scheme of formation of bubbles (Moskaliova,
Girdzijauskas 2006)
Caption: Fig. 6. Phases of economic growth cycle
Caption: Fig. 7. Factors influencing market and capital niche
fulfilment
doi:10.3846/20294913.2013.823134
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Nadezda DORONINA KOLTAN (a), Stasys GIRDZIJAUSKAS (b), Dalia
STREIMIKIENE (c)
(a) Vilnius Business College, Kalvariju g. 125, LT-09308 Vilnius,
Lithuania
(b,c) Kaunas Faculty of Humanities, Vilnius University, Muitines g.
8, LT-44280 Kaunas, Lithuania
Corresponding author Dalia Streimikiene
E-mail:
[email protected]
Received 12 February 2012; accepted 16 March 2012
Nadezda DORONINA KOLTAN holds MsC in Economics. She is a life
insurance Head of East region in SEB bank. She also works as a lecturer
at Vilnius Business College. She is an author of several scientific
papers dealing with consumer bahavior. Her main subject of research
interests is consumer behaviour in saturated markets.
Stasys GIRDZIJAUSKAS, PhD, Dr Habil, and Full Professor at the
Department of Informatics, Kaunas Faculty of Humanities, Vilnius
University (Lithuania). He holds diploma of Engineer from Kaunas
University of Technology (1963), PhD (Technical Sciences) from Kaunas
University of Technology (1972). He passed the Habilitation procedure
(Social Sciences, Economics, 04S) at Vilnius University in 2007.
He was working at Vilnius University since 1975. The Dean of Kaunas
Faculty of Humanities of Vilnius University in the period 2002-2008. Dr
S. Girdzijauskas is the author of almost 100 scientific publications and
6 books. He developed logistic theory of finance management and wrote
the monograph "Logistic capital management theory: deterministic
methods". In investigation of limited growth resources, S.
Girdzijauskas explored such economic phenomenon as economic burbles,
investigated the reasons of such bubbles formation and economic cycles,
globalization and technical progress impact on such phenomena.
Dalia STREIMIKIENE is a senior research fellow at the Social
Cultural Institute of Kaunas Faculty of Humanities, Vilnius University.
The main areas of research are: environmental policy, energy policy and
economic tools of environmental regulation in energy sector. Prof. Dr
Dalia Streimikiene holds PhD in Economics. She is professor and Leading
Research Associate at Vilnius University Kaunas Faculty of Humanities.
D. Streimikiene has experience in various projects related to
sustainable development, environmental and climate change mitigation
policies. She also has experience in consumer behaviour and business
ethics. The main area of her research is sustainability assessment of
policies, technologies and products in energy field, development of
indicator frameworks for sustainability assessment.
Table 1. Explanation of variables in Eqs (6-8)
Signs Explanation No.
V Value (11)
B perceived economic benefit to customer (12)
p potent ion (13)
P price to customer = revenue from customer (14)
C cost to organization (15)
1 economic measure (16)
2 consumer measure (17)
0 organizational measure (18)