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  • 标题:Of Inflation and Growth Nexus in BRIMC Economies
  • 作者:Khadim, Waseem ; Ilyas, Saddam ; Mehmood, Bilal
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER)
  • 印刷版ISSN:2311-3871
  • 电子版ISSN:2310-5232
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:32-45
  • 出版社:The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO)
  • 摘要:Purpose: This study aims to assess the nonlinearity in inflation-growth nexus for BRIMC economies. It also proposes a threshold level beyond which inflation becomes detrimental to growth.Methodology: Data for the period of 1970–2013 has been used to scrutinize the said nexus via dynamic panel cointegration techniques of: PMG, MG and DFE. Hausman test has been employed to choose comparatively efficient and consistent estimator among the above estimators. Findings: Our findings reveal that the relationship between economic growth and inflation within the linear frame work is significantly positive in the long run, but when we introduce a square term of inflation this relationship becomes negative though it still remains statistically significant. This sign switching behavior of inflation from positive to negative confirms the existence of non-linear relationship between inflation and economic growth in BRIMC economies. Therefore we have found out the threshold level of inflation for BRIMC economies which is based on a fixed-effect panel threshold model proposed by Hansen (1999). Our results show that inflation can hamper the growth of BRIMC economies if it exceeds the threshold level of 8.32%. Recommendations: However, below this threshold, inflation is beneficial for the long run economic growth.
  • 关键词:: Cointegration; Threshold model; Growth; Inflation
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