文章基本信息

标题：Wie nachhaltig sind die gesetzliche Kranken- und Pflegeversicherung finanziert?
本地全文：下载
作者：Friedrich Breyer ; Normann Lorenz
期刊名称：Wirtschaftsdienst
印刷版ISSN：0043-6275
电子版ISSN：1613-978X
出版年度：2020
卷号：100
期号：8
页码：591-596
DOI：10.1007/s10273-020-2716-1
语种：English
出版社：Springer
摘要：Based on a recent non-parametric estimation of the relationship between age, lifespan and health and long-term care expenditures in German social health insurance, we present a simulation of the future development of contribution rates in the two branches of the German social security system. Depending on different assumptions of the future growth of GDP per worker, our estimates show that by 2040 the total social security contribution rate could reach between slightly below 50 % and above 53 % of gross wages. Thus the sustainability of the German social security system is severely jeopardised.